Thursday, October 16

Politics by the Numbers

Polls are a fixture of politics. Polls are also hard to depend on for answers. As you'll see below, these are results from polls taken a few days before last night's debate. The numbers range from Obama having a 5-point lead to a 14-point lead. Why the disparity? Usually it's in the methodology used to take the poll, the number of voters sampled, and probably most importantly, what is that voter's party affiliation.

But for what it's worth, here are the most recent poll results from several of the leading polls:

Zogby/Reuters/C-Span Poll
Democrat Barack Obama has a 5-point lead over Republican John McCain in the U.S. presidential race, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/ZOGBY poll released on Thursday.

Rasmussen Poll
Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. That’s the fourth straight day with identical numbers and the twentieth straight day that Obama’s support has stayed in the narrow range from 50% to 52% while McCain has been at 44% of 45%

Gallup Daily Tracking Poll
National registered voters continue to prefer Barack Obama (50%) to John McCain (43%) for president.

LA Times/Bloomberg Poll
Three weeks before election day, Obama leads McCain 50% to 41% among voters likely to cast ballots Nov. 4.

CBS News/NY Times Poll
Heading into the final debate, the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden has widened its lead over the Republicans, John McCain and Sarah Palin. 53% of likely voters support Obama/Biden while 39% support McCain/Palin.


Melissa said...

My aunt was told she was not in their survey's "demographic" when asked if she was a little Democratic or a lot Democratic after admitting she is 100% sure she is voting for McCain. Apparently, being a little Democratic and voting for McCain doesn't get you participation in many mainstream media polls! Gallop was the only one that finished surveying her!

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